The Introduction of electronic voting through the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) in Nigeria’s February 25 and March 11 elections will prevent traditional forms of election violence associated with ballot box snatching. However, perpetrators are shifting their tactics toward voter suppression and vote buying. Meanwhile, social and political realignments within the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and the ascendance of the Labour Party (LP) open a range of possible scenarios from widespread violence on the one hand, to very minimal violence on the other, depending on how the election unfolds. Based on historical trends, however, this election is shaping up to have lower levels of violence than the last two cycles in the nine oil-producing states, as there were fewer incidents and fatali.es two months to this election, than there were two months to the elections in 2019 and 2015.
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